Isn't that the theme to the NCAA music on CBS? Anyway it's wonderful out there...when I saw the 12Z (6AM) sounding from Topeka and saw how warm the air was aloft...I had a feeling that with the winds being what they are...my 69 forecast was going to be too low...as of this writing we're in the lower 70s and should finish closer to 75 before the sun starts to set in the next few hours...wonderful indeed...reminds me of the way October started before it went to heck after the 1st...on 10/1 we were 76 degrees and then it got and stayed chilly for the rest of the month...this month however will not follow that pattern as more warm air...and perhaps 70+ air is tergeting the region later in the week and into next weekend...and the forecast will be upped for the maxes this afternoon...

Lets talk about October of 2009 for one last second...I emailed the folks at Pleasant Hill to help me out with the answer to the question...when was the last time a month was soooo far below average @ KCI...in the case of October of 2009...it was 6.2 degrees below average...so a big hat-tip to Matt D for helping me out with this information...

The last time a month was that cold relative to average was DEC of 2003 with temperatures 12.3 degrees below average...We were also well below avg in DEC 1989 with temps 10.2 below avg...you may remember that month...it marked our most extreme cold ever with two mornings of -23 and 3 other mornings of -14 and below that...all told 8 days with lows below 0 with 7" of snow...also FEB of 1989 was -10.2 degrees.

The last time OCT was so cold relative to average was OCT of 1925 at -9.3 degrees and then OCT of 1917 @ -6.5 degrees...anyway just a few more crazy stats for you...thanks again to Pleasant Hill for doing some number crunching for me...

No real changes in the day to day thoughts of the weather...tomorrow we should be around 60...50s on TUE I think...then the warmth surges back in...our 5K temps this AM were +13C...we're probably going to max out at that level near +15C...and the models are suggesting the same "warmth" at that level heading towards us next weekend with decent mixing on FRI/SUN...so if we're getting back into the 70s it would be at least potentially there...

I guess we can consider that our Indian Summer since it should last a few days in a row...anytime the models are this optimistic in such a fast flow you always get concerned about the potential of weak trofs sliding through and knocking down the best warmth...it will turn an optimistic 70s forecast into the 60s in a heartbeat...so that will be in the back of my mind along with the potential of any weird upper level cloud cover that could squash things for sure...but one thing for sure...it doesn't look cold...nor does it look wet anytime soon...so a lot of drying should take place for the next 7+ days...there may be a weird sprinkle/shower in there somewhere...but it doesn't look like much...

The rain is ending in the Philly area...so Game #4 is set for tonight and should be OK...the next threat would be a potential rain on Game #7 (THU)...

That's all I've got for you today...see you after the game tonight...probably closer to 10:30 or 11PM...at least the data roles in an hour earlier with the time change...

Joe