Through in a few patches of rain...heaviest east and SE of KC and well, you can't say we didn't warn you...

The storm is still spinning it's wheels across MO at this hour...btw props to the EURO for picking this up so well late last week...it was the only model to correctly forecast the positioning of this storm last FRI I think...meanwhile the sensible weather is about the same...take a look at the storm from space...

Now a close-up view into the state line area...with KC in the middle...

Click on those pictures to make them bigger...

The question is when do we finally clear out the skies and how much can we warm up on THU...assuming we don't clear out a lot tonight...we'll probably not drop much at all from where we are now...and then slowly warm up tomorrow AM before seeing the sunshine go to work...so I suspect 50-55 is doable...it could get warmer IF we clear out faster...MOS data indicates, along with forecast soundings, the potential of 55-58 degrees...again the trick is when we clear out...and the difference of a couple of hours will indeed play a 5 degree role in the temperatures...

Another weak system will pass us by on SAT with the potential for a few patches of rain...especially KC SEwards...but the best energy for this looks to stay well to the south of here...then another weak system on SUN...but at this point it looks like we'll be on the SE side of that...with just a glancing blow...meaning another light event is possible...throughout all of this we're looking at rain and not snow...despite the chilly air now...this storm that's affecting us today has really NO connection to the Canadian prairies so as a result aside form the chilly air and the clouds that it generated...as soon as we get some sun we should moderate heading towards the weekend...

The gray weather though will come back soon enough...actually it won't really be leaving us for any length of time...so what sunshine we do get tomorrow or FRI...enjoy it while you can...because not a lot is in the forecast for the next 5 days...

Next week is a handful right now with the EURO on board for a more dramatic storm(s) while the ensembles aren't nearly that exciting...and the latter are the way we're going to lean at this point in time...something to watch however. By the way today is Winter Weather Awareness day...so if you want to learn more check out the link...also if you want a LOT of winter climatology for the region, the NWS in P Hill has put together a great resource for you...there's also some good climo stuff from the NWS office in Topeka...

We taped the winter forecast for FRI nights show...it runs about 7 minutes then we did an additional 10 minues or so for the web site...where we had a bit more fun with what we were doing...I haven't really changed my opinions that much for the season...I don't have a real strong feeling about things at this point...and storms like the one from earlier this week put the fear into me about how much snow I'm thinking...but we'll just soldier onwards...it's interesting that despite not talking a lot beforehand about our individual thoughts concerning the winter...that we all essentially arrived at some of the same conclusions...look for an early release to you, our bloggers, tomorrow or FRI...we've done this every year I think...and this year there's almost 15 minutes of us discussing things...

Of note...sometime over the next 4 days I'll post the snowfall totals for the region for the past 8 years...and our snowfall climatology from the NWS...

Have a great afternoon!

Joe